Everyone remember when one of Palm ‘s lead investors, Roger McNamee, talked some serious, serious trash a few months back about how all first gen iPhone users would not be using an iPhone anymore a month after their two-year anniversaries hit?  Here ‘s the money quote:

You know the beautiful thing: June 29, 2009, is the two- year anniversary of the first shipment of the iPhone, ‘ McNamee told Bloomberg today. ‘Not one of those people will still be using an iPhone a month later.

I ‘d like to nominate that one for the Clyde Drexler Award for Worst Trash Talking Attempt of the year.

Remember Clyde Drexler?  Great player.  Terrible trash talker.  He ‘s the guy who, when he was with the Trail Blazers, facing the Bulls in the finals and assigned to cover Michael Jordan, said something about his strategy being all about forcing Michael outside, as he wasn ‘t much of a threat from 3-point range.  The result “ Michael went out in the next game and hit six three-pointers * in the first half *, an NBA Finals record, and also 35 points in that half, another record.

To be fair, Drexler was never a brash or cocky guy, and maybe Roger McNamee isn ‘t either, but his prediction is looking about as sound as Drexler ‘s defensive game plan right about now.

I haven ‘t seen any stats yet from AT&T or elsewhere on what the opt-out rate is for V1 iPhone users “ but I ‘m guessing that given over one million sales of the iPhone 3GS in its first 3 days, and the iPhone 3G being available at $99 (and probably selling big numbers), and the Pre ‘s initial sales of around 100,000, he ‘s not feeling great when he sees his words from back in March.

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